Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global CatastropheMcGill-Queen's Press - MQUP, 01.10.2002 - 160 Seiten Using arguments that parallel those of Blaise Pascal and William James, Haller offers prudential reasons for caution that should convince those not already persuaded by ethical arguments. While models of global systems can reveal only possible, not probable, futures, the catastrophic threats posed by such things as global warming, ozone depletion, or population increase represent what James would call "live options": that is, they present us with a plausible possibility that forces us to make momentous decisions. Haller concludes that we cannot afford to risk catastrophe, despite the high costs this decision involves. |
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Seite
... problems as it solves, political unrest and the destruction of wildlife habitat chief among them. Growing rice to feed this burgeoning population is releasing ever larger amounts of methane, a gas that some people claim is a major ...
... problems as it solves, political unrest and the destruction of wildlife habitat chief among them. Growing rice to feed this burgeoning population is releasing ever larger amounts of methane, a gas that some people claim is a major ...
Seite
... problem of what to do in cases where we are asked to take action meant to avoid catastrophe before we have compelling evidence of the likelihood of the catastrophe, and I use nuclear winter, ozone depletion, and global warming as ...
... problem of what to do in cases where we are asked to take action meant to avoid catastrophe before we have compelling evidence of the likelihood of the catastrophe, and I use nuclear winter, ozone depletion, and global warming as ...
Seite 3
... problems on a scale far surpassing anything we have encountered previously. Potential crises are global in scope, and the possible consequences are catastrophic. We are risking the very capacity of Earth to support any life, or at least ...
... problems on a scale far surpassing anything we have encountered previously. Potential crises are global in scope, and the possible consequences are catastrophic. We are risking the very capacity of Earth to support any life, or at least ...
Seite 5
... problem of global catastrophic risks, we need to know both what these risks are and what we are willing to do about them. Thus, the book is divided into two parts what to believe and what to do. In part 1, I evaluate claims about the ...
... problem of global catastrophic risks, we need to know both what these risks are and what we are willing to do about them. Thus, the book is divided into two parts what to believe and what to do. In part 1, I evaluate claims about the ...
Seite 11
... problem. These models of global systems examine the potential of some human activities to result in catastrophe. Nuclear winter, ozone depletion, overpopulation, and global warming are potential catastrophes brought about by human ...
... problem. These models of global systems examine the potential of some human activities to result in catastrophe. Nuclear winter, ozone depletion, overpopulation, and global warming are potential catastrophes brought about by human ...
Inhalt
3 | |
9 | |
DirectTests | 33 |
Two Requirements for Successful Prediction | 39 |
Indirect Tests | 53 |
DilemmasandDefences | 65 |
Science and Values in Decision | 79 |
Decisionmaking Under Uncertainty and High Risk | 87 |
DemocraticEpistemology | 114 |
A Pascalian Argument for Precaution | 141 |
141 | 165 |
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Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen Francis Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen Francis Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
able accepted action activities actually adopt argue arguments assessment assumed assumptions avoid behaviour believe benefits carbon catastrophe cause chapter claims Climate Change commitments complex correct costs course debate decide decisions described Earth effects emissions environment environmental epistemic error estimates ethical evidence example existence expected experience explain fact fear future Giere give global systems global warming greenhouse growth harm historical human hypothesis ignorance increase initial involved James judgments justify laws levels Limits live mean measurements method models of global moral nature nuclear winter observations ocean outcome particular political population possible potential practical precaution precautionary principle predictions present probability problems proof question rationality reasons reliable represent Responsibility result risk scientific scientists sensitive Shrader-Frechette strategy successful supply temperature theory things tion uncertainty various