Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global CatastropheMcGill-Queen's Press - MQUP, 01.10.2002 - 160 Seiten Using arguments that parallel those of Blaise Pascal and William James, Haller offers prudential reasons for caution that should convince those not already persuaded by ethical arguments. While models of global systems can reveal only possible, not probable, futures, the catastrophic threats posed by such things as global warming, ozone depletion, or population increase represent what James would call "live options": that is, they present us with a plausible possibility that forces us to make momentous decisions. Haller concludes that we cannot afford to risk catastrophe, despite the high costs this decision involves. |
Im Buch
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Seite 3
... present habits of production and consumption continue, we will soon reach the limits of Earths capacity to support its inhabitants. Population, food and resource consumption, and industrial emissions have been increasing at exponential ...
... present habits of production and consumption continue, we will soon reach the limits of Earths capacity to support its inhabitants. Population, food and resource consumption, and industrial emissions have been increasing at exponential ...
Seite 6
... present in chapter 1 four examples of global systems models that predict catastrophe (given certain initial conditions) and explain their goals as well as give some of their history. Next, in chapter 2, I discuss the nature of models in ...
... present in chapter 1 four examples of global systems models that predict catastrophe (given certain initial conditions) and explain their goals as well as give some of their history. Next, in chapter 2, I discuss the nature of models in ...
Seite 8
... present us with a possibility that is at least plausible, and they force us to make momentous decisions. I conclude that we cannot afford to risk catastrophe despite the high costs this decision will involve. part one Predictions of ...
... present us with a possibility that is at least plausible, and they force us to make momentous decisions. I conclude that we cannot afford to risk catastrophe despite the high costs this decision will involve. part one Predictions of ...
Seite 13
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Inhalt
3 | |
9 | |
DirectTests | 33 |
Two Requirements for Successful Prediction | 39 |
Indirect Tests | 53 |
DilemmasandDefences | 65 |
Science and Values in Decision | 79 |
Decisionmaking Under Uncertainty and High Risk | 87 |
DemocraticEpistemology | 114 |
A Pascalian Argument for Precaution | 141 |
141 | 165 |
Andere Ausgaben - Alle anzeigen
Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen Francis Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen Francis Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
able accepted action activities actually adopt argue arguments assessment assumed assumptions avoid behaviour believe benefits carbon catastrophe cause chapter claims Climate Change commitments complex correct costs course debate decide decisions described Earth effects emissions environment environmental epistemic error estimates ethical evidence example existence expected experience explain fact fear future Giere give global systems global warming greenhouse growth harm historical human hypothesis ignorance increase initial involved James judgments justify laws levels Limits live mean measurements method models of global moral nature nuclear winter observations ocean outcome particular political population possible potential practical precaution precautionary principle predictions present probability problems proof question rationality reasons reliable represent Responsibility result risk scientific scientists sensitive Shrader-Frechette strategy successful supply temperature theory things tion uncertainty various