Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global CatastropheMcGill-Queen's Press - MQUP, 01.10.2002 - 160 Seiten Using arguments that parallel those of Blaise Pascal and William James, Haller offers prudential reasons for caution that should convince those not already persuaded by ethical arguments. While models of global systems can reveal only possible, not probable, futures, the catastrophic threats posed by such things as global warming, ozone depletion, or population increase represent what James would call "live options": that is, they present us with a plausible possibility that forces us to make momentous decisions. Haller concludes that we cannot afford to risk catastrophe, despite the high costs this decision involves. |
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Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen F. Haller. Preface. on. In a small corner of the South Pacific, on the ... change the climate of the entire Earth in ways that could be catastrophic. Around the world, billions of other ...
Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen F. Haller. Preface. on. In a small corner of the South Pacific, on the ... change the climate of the entire Earth in ways that could be catastrophic. Around the world, billions of other ...
Seite
... change Earths ability to support this large population. As someone with environmentalist values, I was interested in looking into claims of potential global crises. I started out with the not uncommon view that Earth is in peril because ...
... change Earths ability to support this large population. As someone with environmentalist values, I was interested in looking into claims of potential global crises. I started out with the not uncommon view that Earth is in peril because ...
Seite 3
... global in scope, and the possible consequences are catastrophic. We are risking the very capacity of Earth to ... global warming, nuclear winter, or ozone-layer depletion, will, it is asserted, find themselves in a world irreversibly ...
... global in scope, and the possible consequences are catastrophic. We are risking the very capacity of Earth to ... global warming, nuclear winter, or ozone-layer depletion, will, it is asserted, find themselves in a world irreversibly ...
Seite 5
... changes occur in the system. Thus, for example, one well-constructed global circulation model of Earths climate predicts that the global average temperature will increase with increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide. Furthermore, by ...
... changes occur in the system. Thus, for example, one well-constructed global circulation model of Earths climate predicts that the global average temperature will increase with increasing concentrations of carbon dioxide. Furthermore, by ...
Seite 6
... global systems that are predicting various catastrophes leave us uncertain as to the likelihood of these catastrophes. The global models I investigate can show what is a possible future, but cannot provide reliable estimates of ...
... global systems that are predicting various catastrophes leave us uncertain as to the likelihood of these catastrophes. The global models I investigate can show what is a possible future, but cannot provide reliable estimates of ...
Inhalt
3 | |
9 | |
DirectTests | 33 |
Two Requirements for Successful Prediction | 39 |
Indirect Tests | 53 |
DilemmasandDefences | 65 |
Science and Values in Decision | 79 |
Decisionmaking Under Uncertainty and High Risk | 87 |
DemocraticEpistemology | 114 |
A Pascalian Argument for Precaution | 141 |
141 | 165 |
Andere Ausgaben - Alle anzeigen
Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen Francis Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen Francis Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
able accepted action activities actually adopt argue arguments assessment assumed assumptions avoid behaviour believe benefits carbon catastrophe cause chapter claims Climate Change commitments complex correct costs course debate decide decisions described Earth effects emissions environment environmental epistemic error estimates ethical evidence example existence expected experience explain fact fear future Giere give global systems global warming greenhouse growth harm historical human hypothesis ignorance increase initial involved James judgments justify laws levels Limits live mean measurements method models of global moral nature nuclear winter observations ocean outcome particular political population possible potential practical precaution precautionary principle predictions present probability problems proof question rationality reasons reliable represent Responsibility result risk scientific scientists sensitive Shrader-Frechette strategy successful supply temperature theory things tion uncertainty various