Foresight in Action: Developing Policy-Oriented ScenariosMarjolein van Asselt, Susan van 't Klooster, Philip van Notten, Livia A. Smits Routledge, 25.06.2012 - 194 Seiten Assessing the future is vital in informing public policy decisions. One of the most widespread approaches is the development of scenarios, which are alternative hypothetical futures. Research has indicated, however, that the reality of how professionals go about employing scenarios is often starkly at odds with the theory - a finding that has important ramifications for how the resulting images of the future should be interpreted. It also shows the need for rewriting and updating theory. |
Inhalt
1 | |
2 First Impressions of Foresight Practice | 23 |
3 Dealing with Policy | 41 |
4 Practising the Scenario Matrix | 61 |
5 Dealing with Prospective Uncertainty | 79 |
6 The Past the Present and the Future | 105 |
7 Reflection on Action | 137 |
References | 147 |
Appendix | 163 |
167 | |
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Foresight in Action: Developing Policy-Oriented Scenarios Marjolein van Asselt,Susan van 't Klooster Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2012 |
Foresight in Action: Developing Policy-oriented Scenarios M. B. A. van Asselt Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2010 |
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