The VP Advantage: How running mates influence home state voting in presidential electionsA widespread perception exists among political commentators, campaign operatives and presidential candidates that vice presidential (VP) running mates can deliver their home state's electoral votes in a presidential election. In recent elections, presidential campaigns have even changed their strategy in response to the perceived VP home state advantage. But is the advantage real? And could it decide a presidential election? In the most comprehensive analysis to date, Devine and Kopko demonstrate that the VP home state advantage is actually highly conditional and rarely decisive in the Electoral College. However, it could change the outcome of a presidential election under narrow but plausible conditions. Sophisticated in its methodology and rich in historical as well as contemporary insight, The VP Advantage is essential and accessible reading for anyone interested in understanding how running mates influence presidential elections. |
Contents
| 1977 | |
| 1996 | |
Has the vice presidential home state advantage ever decided an election? | |
Who votes for the running mate anyway? | |
The VP advantage | |
Fixed effects model of democratic vote share with interaction terms 18842012 | |
Other editions - View all
The VP Advantage: How Running Mates Influence Home State Voting in ... Christopher Devine,Kyle C. Kopko No preview available - 2016 |
The VP Advantage: How Running Mates Influence Home State Voting in ... Christopher Devine,Kyle C. Kopko No preview available - 2016 |
Common terms and phrases
Accessed February 23 Al Gore analysis Barack Obama battleground Bush candidate feeling thermometer Chapter competitive Democratic presidential Democratic ticket denotes significant dependent variable Dick Cheney Dudley and Rapoport Electoral College electoral votes estimates evidence feeling thermometer ratings five-election lag friends and neighbors home state advantage home state respondents home state variable Incumbent party Jeanne Shaheen Joe Biden Kennedy Lewis-Beck and Rice Lyndon Johnson Marco Rubio measure media markets missing otherwise Mitt Romney neighbors voting nomination outcome Paul Ryan perception political experience population presidential and vice presidential campaign presidential candidate evaluations presidential candidate's home presidential election presidential ticket region regression models Republican presidential Republican vice presidential Rice equation Romney running mate Sarah Palin Senate southern statistically significant Texans Texas two-party vote share veepstakes vice president vice presidential candidate’s vice presidential candidates vice presidential finalists vice presidential home vice presidential HSA vice presidential selection VP home Wisconsin

