Human Judgment and Decision Making: Theories, Methods, and Procedures |
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Seite 40
DT declares that its intentions are to help their clients " get their heads ( or
preferences ) straight , ” or something similar . Careful delineation of probabilities
and utilities aggregated by the decision analyst provide the remedy ( see ,
Keeney ...
DT declares that its intentions are to help their clients " get their heads ( or
preferences ) straight , ” or something similar . Careful delineation of probabilities
and utilities aggregated by the decision analyst provide the remedy ( see ,
Keeney ...
Seite 70
This term is defined in terms of the degree to which an “ uncertain event or a
sample ... is i ) similar in essential properties to its parent population ; and ii )
reflects the salient features of the process by which it is generated ” ( p . 431 ,
Kahneman ...
This term is defined in terms of the degree to which an “ uncertain event or a
sample ... is i ) similar in essential properties to its parent population ; and ii )
reflects the salient features of the process by which it is generated ” ( p . 431 ,
Kahneman ...
Seite 192
In terms of procedures , this means that in tests of optimality with respect to the
environmental system , judges will be compared with Bayes ' theorem or similar
logical or normative rules . Within the SJT approach , the environment is
ordinarily ...
In terms of procedures , this means that in tests of optimality with respect to the
environmental system , judges will be compared with Bayes ' theorem or similar
logical or normative rules . Within the SJT approach , the environment is
ordinarily ...
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Inhalt
THEORY | 6 |
Introduction to Theory | 17 |
Scope | 31 |
Urheberrecht | |
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aggregation aids alternatives analysis appears applied asked attributes basic behavior Brunswik causal Chapter characteristics choice claims cognitive combinations common complex concepts concerned construction criterion cues decision maker DECISION THEORY decomposition defined described descriptive developed dimensions direct discussed distinction Edwards effects efforts empirical environment environmental evaluation example formal function given Group Hammond human idiographic important independence indicate individuals inference integration intended interest involving judges judgment and decision Keeney knowledge levels logical major means measurement methods multiple nomothetic noted objective observable offers optimality organizing principles origins persons possible preference present probability problem procedures processes psychological questions regard relative representativeness require respect response scale similar six approaches social specific statistical stimuli studies subjective task theoretical theorists Tversky uncertainty usually utility variables various weights