Contemporary Issues in Decision MakingKatrin Borcherding, Oleg Ivanovich Larichev, David M. Messick North-Holland, 1990 - 472 Seiten Presented in this book are chapters covering the most recent advances in the study of decision making. There are contributions from psychology, management, systems analysis, and computer science. The book is divided into sections on individual decision processes, social factors in decision making, risk management, and decision structuring. Many contributions have been made by Soviet scientists. The papers originate from the 12th Research Conference on Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making (SPUDM) held at Moscow State University in 1989. |
Inhalt
Some Propositions for the Classification of Decision Situations | 17 |
Is the Prominence Effect Due | 30 |
Structure Identification | 33 |
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accidents Advantage Model alternative ambiguity ambiguity aversion analgesics analysis arguments artificial intelligence assessment attributes base-rate behavior betting Borcherding Borda count cancer chance lottery choice problem cognitive patterns competence hypothesis components condition conditional probabilities Condorcet considered continuum hypothesis deadlines decision analyst decision candidates decision maker decision problem decision process decision projects decision theory developed diabetic coma diagnostic domain facts effect estimates evaluation example ExComm experiment experimental factors Figure Fischhoff frame Fred include goals high-knowledge important indicate interaction involvement Journal judged probability Kahneman knowledge base logical mean methods Nanson's method negative normative options outcomes paper payoffs peptic ulcer prediction preference judgments presented previous participant procedure prospect theory Psychology relevance tree relevant response mode risk communication rules scale scores selection significant situation Slovic SM-L social strategy structure Svenson Table task specific knowledge theory treatment Tversky