Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global CatastropheMcGill-Queen's Press - MQUP, 2002 - 185 Seiten Apocalypse Soon? is about environmental decision-making. Stephen Haller examines claims about the risk of global catastrophe and describes the models of global systems that predict catastrophe. He explains the conditions of a good prediction and shows that models that generate predictions of catastrophe leave us uncertain about the likelihood of catastrophe – our best science can give us no assurance that doomsday is either likely or unlikely. Using arguments that parallel those of Blaise Pascal and William James, Haller offers prudential reasons for caution that should convince those not already persuaded by ethical arguments. While models of global systems can reveal only possible, not probable, futures, the catastrophic threats posed by such things as global warming, ozone depletion, or population increase represent what James would call "live options": that is, they present us with a plausible possibility that forces us to make momentous decisions. Haller concludes that we cannot afford to risk catastrophe, despite the high costs this decision involves. |
Im Buch
Ergebnisse 1-5 von 13
Seite 28
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Seite 68
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Seite 73
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Seite 85
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Seite 86
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Der Inhalt dieser Seite ist beschränkt..
Inhalt
Introduction | 3 |
PREDICTIONS OF GLOBAL CATASTROPHE BASED | 9 |
What Is a Scientific Model and What Do We Do with One? | 25 |
Direct Tests | 33 |
Two Requirements for Successful Prediction | 39 |
Indirect Tests | 53 |
Dilemmas and Defences | 65 |
Science and Values in Decision | 79 |
Decisionmaking Under Uncertainty and High Risk | 87 |
Democratic Epistemology | 114 |
IO A Pascalian Argument for Precaution | 141 |
Andere Ausgaben - Alle anzeigen
Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen F. Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Apocalypse Soon?: Wagering on Warnings of Global Catastrophe Stephen Francis Haller Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2002 |
Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
accepted argue assumptions behaviour believe Boehmer-Christiansen burden of proof carbon dioxide Cartwright CFCS chapter claims Climate Change climate models conservatism cost-benefit analysis costs Culpable Ignorance decide decision theory decision-making decisions dilemma Earth emissions environmental epistemic epistemology error ethical arguments evidence example explain future Giere Giere's global catastrophe global climate global climate models global models global risk global systems global temperature Global Warming Unchecked greenhouse gases Hacking harm historical human hypothesis increase initial conditions IPCC IPCC Scientific Assessment James Jonas justify Limits Limits to Growth Meadows measurements Memoir of Nuclear Method in Ecology models of global moral nuclear winter ocean outcome ozone ozone depletion Pascal's Wager political pollution population possible potential precaution precautionary action precautionary principle probability problems reasons reliable result Risk and Rationality Rothman scientific models scientists Shrader-Frechette and McCoy strategy theory tion uncertainty value judgments Wernham Wilfrid Laurier University
Verweise auf dieses Buch
The River of History: Trans-national and Trans-disciplinary Perspectives on ... Peter Farrugia Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2005 |
The Work of Global Justice: Human Rights as Practices Fuyuki Kurasawa Keine Leseprobe verfügbar - 2007 |