Human Judgment and Decision Making: Theories, Methods, and Procedures |
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Seite 40
Although probability assessments are treated with some sophistication and steps
are often taken to straighten out logical flaws , no specific remedies other than
those based on “ clinical ” experience are offered . ( This is particularly true with ...
Although probability assessments are treated with some sophistication and steps
are often taken to straighten out logical flaws , no specific remedies other than
those based on “ clinical ” experience are offered . ( This is particularly true with ...
Seite 51
We do not find predictions of the appearance of any specific organizing principle
other than on the grounds of a precedent . Rather , the search for generality
seems to focus on a more genral level . Thus , for example , in Berkowitz ( 1974 ,
p .
We do not find predictions of the appearance of any specific organizing principle
other than on the grounds of a precedent . Rather , the search for generality
seems to focus on a more genral level . Thus , for example , in Berkowitz ( 1974 ,
p .
Seite 102
Operational questions aside , however , it is clear that the theory that supports the
aims ( not the specific techniques ) of decision analysis does have a strong
directive influence ; it certainly tells the decision analyst what information he or
she ...
Operational questions aside , however , it is clear that the theory that supports the
aims ( not the specific techniques ) of decision analysis does have a strong
directive influence ; it certainly tells the decision analyst what information he or
she ...
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Inhalt
THEORY | 6 |
Scope | 31 |
Loci of Concepts | 91 |
Urheberrecht | |
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achievement aggregation aids alternatives analysis appears applied attempt attributes basic Bayesian behavior Brunswik causal Chapter choice claims cognitive complex concepts concerned considered cues decision maker DECISION THEORY described descriptive dimensions direct discussed distinction Edwards effects efforts empirical employed environment environmental estimates evaluation example formal function given Group Group II approaches human idiographic important independence indicate individual inference integration intended interest interpersonal involving judges judgment and decision Keeney knowing knowledge learning logical major means measurement methods nomothetic noted objective observable offers optimality organizing origins persons present principles probability problem procedures psychological questions Raiffa refers regard relation representativeness require response scale similar single-system six approaches social specific statistical stimuli studies subjective task theoretical theorists Tversky uncertainty utility variables various weights