Human Judgment and Decision Making: Theories, Methods, and ProceduresPraeger, 1980 - 258 Seiten |
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Seite 183
... Probability Estimation Probability estimation tasks , and the responses required by them , can be roughly subdivided into two categories : ( a ) those requiring indirect responses and ( b ) those requiring more or less direct estimation ...
... Probability Estimation Probability estimation tasks , and the responses required by them , can be roughly subdivided into two categories : ( a ) those requiring indirect responses and ( b ) those requiring more or less direct estimation ...
Seite 196
... probability estimation judgments . For such problems , the emphasis is on eliciting and calibrating decision makers ' probability estimates , and little attention is given to the characteristics of the environmental data upon which ...
... probability estimation judgments . For such problems , the emphasis is on eliciting and calibrating decision makers ' probability estimates , and little attention is given to the characteristics of the environmental data upon which ...
Seite 202
... estimates of probability . Most commonly , the decision maker is asked to estimate the subjective probability of an event by specifying a num- ber between 0 and 1 , by indicating his or her estimate of the likelihood or odds ( or log ...
... estimates of probability . Most commonly , the decision maker is asked to estimate the subjective probability of an event by specifying a num- ber between 0 and 1 , by indicating his or her estimate of the likelihood or odds ( or log ...
Inhalt
THEORY | 6 |
Introduction to Theory | 17 |
Scope | 31 |
Urheberrecht | |
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Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
aggregation across judges alternatives ambiguity analysis ANOVA applied Attribution Theory axioms basic research Bayesian Brunswik causal Chapter choice concepts criterion cues debiasing decision analyst decision maker decision problems decision processes decomposition described descriptive dimensions double-system DT and BDT ecological validity Edwards empirical environment evaluation example expected utility feedback formal task function forms Group II approaches Hammond Heider human judgment idiographic method important indicate individuals inference INTEGRATION THEORY intended function involving judgment and decision judgment or decision Kahneman Keeney and Raiffa lens model levels logical lotteries measurement methodological multiattribute multiple n-system nomothetic methods observable task elements operationalizes optimality ordinarily organizing principles probabilities and utilities probability estimation procedures prospect theory PSYCHOLOGICAL DECISION THEORY psychophysics response Shanteau single-system six approaches Slovic SOCIAL JUDGMENT THEORY specific statistical stimuli studies subjective data subjective expected utility subjective probability theoretical theorists tion Tversky uncertainty utility function variables