Human Judgment and Decision Making: Theories, Methods, and ProceduresPraeger, 1980 - 258 Seiten |
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Seite 58
... estimates from their subjects because they do not regard such estimates of special interest , and none of which are primarily interested in utilities or rewards , although all are perfectly prepared to accept or request probability ...
... estimates from their subjects because they do not regard such estimates of special interest , and none of which are primarily interested in utilities or rewards , although all are perfectly prepared to accept or request probability ...
Seite 183
... estimates of events are then derived from these responses . Another common indirect procedure for obtaining probability estimates involves the use of a " probability wheel . " The wheel is constructed so that two colors can be adjusted ...
... estimates of events are then derived from these responses . Another common indirect procedure for obtaining probability estimates involves the use of a " probability wheel . " The wheel is constructed so that two colors can be adjusted ...
Seite 202
... estimates of probability . Most commonly , the decision maker is asked to estimate the subjective probability of an event by specifying a num- ber between 0 and 1 , by indicating his or her estimate of the likelihood or odds ( or log ...
... estimates of probability . Most commonly , the decision maker is asked to estimate the subjective probability of an event by specifying a num- ber between 0 and 1 , by indicating his or her estimate of the likelihood or odds ( or log ...
Inhalt
THEORY | 6 |
Introduction to Theory | 17 |
Scope | 31 |
Urheberrecht | |
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aggregation aids alternatives analysis appears applied asked attributes basic behavior Brunswik causal Chapter characteristics choice claims cognitive combinations common complex concepts concerned construction correct criterion cues decision maker DECISION THEORY decomposition defined described descriptive developed dimensions direct discussed distinction Edwards effects efforts empirical environment environmental evaluation example formal function given Group Group II approaches Hammond human idiographic important independence indicate individuals inference integration intended interest involving judges judgment and decision knowledge levels logical major means measurement methods multiple nomothetic noted objective observable optimality organizing principles persons possible preference present probability problem procedures processes psychological questions regard relative representativeness require respect response scale similar six approaches social specific statistical stimuli studies subjective task theoretical theorists Tversky uncertainty usually utility variables various weights