Human Judgment and Decision Making: Theories, Methods, and ProceduresPraeger, 1980 - 258 Seiten |
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Seite 58
... estimates from their subjects because they do not regard such estimates of special interest , and none of which are primarily interested in utilities or rewards , although all are perfectly prepared to accept or request probability ...
... estimates from their subjects because they do not regard such estimates of special interest , and none of which are primarily interested in utilities or rewards , although all are perfectly prepared to accept or request probability ...
Seite 183
... estimates of events are then derived from these responses . Another common indirect procedure for obtaining probability estimates involves the use of a " probability wheel . " The wheel is constructed so that two colors can be adjusted ...
... estimates of events are then derived from these responses . Another common indirect procedure for obtaining probability estimates involves the use of a " probability wheel . " The wheel is constructed so that two colors can be adjusted ...
Seite 202
... estimates of probability . Most commonly , the decision maker is asked to estimate the subjective probability of an event by specifying a num- ber between 0 and 1 , by indicating his or her estimate of the likelihood or odds ( or log ...
... estimates of probability . Most commonly , the decision maker is asked to estimate the subjective probability of an event by specifying a num- ber between 0 and 1 , by indicating his or her estimate of the likelihood or odds ( or log ...
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THEORY | 6 |
Introduction to Theory | 17 |
4 | 24 |
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Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
aggregation across judges alternatives ambiguity analysis ANOVA applied Attribution Theory axioms basic research Bayesian Brunswik causal Chapter choice concepts criterion cues debiasing decision analyst decision maker decision problems decision processes decomposition described descriptive dimensions double-system DT and BDT ecological validity Edwards empirical environment evaluation example expected utility feedback formal task function forms Group II approaches Hammond Heider human judgment idiographic method important indicate individuals inference INTEGRATION THEORY intended function involving judgment and decision judgment or decision Kahneman Keeney and Raiffa lens model levels logical lotteries measurement methodological multiattribute multiple n-system nomothetic methods observable task elements operationalizes optimality ordinarily organizing principles probabilities and utilities probability estimation procedures prospect theory PSYCHOLOGICAL DECISION THEORY psychophysics response Shanteau single-system six approaches Slovic SOCIAL JUDGMENT THEORY specific statistical stimuli studies subjective data subjective expected utility subjective probability theoretical theorists tion Tversky uncertainty utility function variables