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If two or three children in a school develop measles, you will conclude that the
epidemic will spread; and this prediction, if you care to call it such, is based on a
generalization from past experience, and is a valid and useful guide to action.
The human beings whose behaviour is made the object of analysis and
prediction may be warned in advance by the prediction of consequences
unwelcome to them, and be induced by it to modify their action, so that the
prediction, however ...
of existing economic conditions, predicts an approaching boom or slump may, if
his authority is great and his arguments cogent, contribute by the very fact of his
prediction to the occurrence of the phenomenon predicted. The political scientist
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Bewertungen von Nutzern
LibraryThing ReviewNutzerbericht - msaucier818 - LibraryThing
This was the definition of a dry read. I read this for a graduate class, and my purpose in reading the book was to try and develop an understanding of how we think about research and the past. I did ... Vollständige Rezension lesen
LibraryThing ReviewNutzerbericht - antiquary - LibraryThing
It puzzles me that Carr was taken so seriously as a "distinguished historian" in British academic circles, considering that he spent the first part of his career championing appeasement of Germany and much of the rest admiring Stalin. Vollständige Rezension lesen
The Historian and His Facts
Society and the Individual
History Science and Morality
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