Rational Decision and CausalityCambridge University Press, 26.08.2016 - 228 Seiten First published in 1982, Ellery Eells' original work on rational decision making had extensive implications for probability theorists, economists, statisticians and psychologists concerned with decision making and the employment of Bayesian principles. His analysis of the philosophical and psychological significance of Bayesian decision theories, causal decision theories and Newcomb's paradox continues to be influential in philosophy of science. His book is now revived for a new generation of readers and presented in a fresh twenty-first-century series livery, including a specially commissioned preface written by Brian Skyrms, illuminating its continuing importance and relevance to philosophical enquiry. |
Inhalt
Bayesianism | 3 |
The philosophical and psychological significance of Bayesian | 22 |
some details | 31 |
Savage | 79 |
Causal decision theories | 87 |
Common causes reasons and symptomatic acts | 137 |
A general defense of PMCEU | 155 |
Newcombs paradox | 188 |
Probability | 203 |
Andere Ausgaben - Alle anzeigen
Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
AC2 and AC3 action actual world agent believes agent considers assume assumption available acts axioms Bayesian decision theory beliefs and desires Boolean calculation causal beliefs causal decision theory causally relevant CC(a CC(DM chapter collectively exhaustive conditional expected conscious beliefs correct act counterexamples counterfactual conditional counterfactuals decision problem decision situation decision-relevant propositions degrees of belief dependency hypotheses desirability assignments discussed DM's equivalent example factors full patterns gamble Gibbard and Harper's given Gnm & Gno H₁ high cholesterol intake Hn & Kni hypothesis implies intuitions Jeffrey Jeffrey's K-expectation K₁ kind lesion Lewis Newcomb situations Newcomb's paradox opaque box outcomes P(SA pair of partitions PDOM plausible PMCEU PMKE preference principle of dominance probabilistically independent probabilities and desirabilities probability assignment probability axioms R-conditional currency Ramsey's reason-propositions reasons SA(DM satisfy Skyrms Solomon subjective expected utility subjective probabilities symptomatic act theorems truth value type-A type-B beliefs