The Art of Thinking ClearlyHarper Collins, 14.05.2013 - 384 Seiten The Art of Thinking Clearly by world-class thinker and entrepreneur Rolf Dobelli is an eye-opening look at human psychology and reasoning — essential reading for anyone who wants to avoid “cognitive errors” and make better choices in all aspects of their lives. Have you ever: Invested time in something that, with hindsight, just wasn’t worth it? Or continued doing something you knew was bad for you? These are examples of cognitive biases, simple errors we all make in our day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to spot them, we can avoid them and make better decisions. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision-making—work, at home, every day. It reveals, in 99 short chapters, the most common errors of judgment, and how to avoid them. |
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Why There Is No Such Thing as an Average War The Problem with Averages | 55 |
How Bonuses Destroy Motivation Motivation Crowding | 56 |
If You Have Nothing to Say Say Nothing Twaddle Tendency | 56 |
How to Increase the Average IQ of Two States Will Rogers Phenomenon | 58 |
If You Have an Enemy Give Him Information Information Bias | 58 |
Hurts So Good Effort Justification | 60 |
Why Small Things Loom Large The Law of Small Numbers | 61 |
Handle with Care Expectations | 62 |
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Dont Take News Anchors Seriously Chauffeur Knowledge | 16 |
You Control Less Than You Think Illusion of Control | 17 |
Never Pay Your Lawyer by the Hour Incentive SuperResponse Tendency | 18 |
The Dubious Efficacy of Doctors Consultants and Psychotherapists Regression to Mean | 19 |
Never Judge a Decision by Its Outcome Outcome Bias | 20 |
Less Is More Paradox of Choice | 20 |
You Like Me You Really Really Like Me Liking Bias | 22 |
Dont Cling to Things Endowment Effect | 23 |
The Inevitability of Unlikely Events Coincidence | 23 |
The Calamity of Conformity Groupthink | 25 |
Why Youll Soon Be Playing Mega Trillions Neglect of Probability | 26 |
Why the Last Cookie in the Jar Makes Your Mouth Water Scarcity Error | 26 |
When You Hear Hoofbeats Dont Expect a Zebra BaseRate Neglect | 28 |
Why the Balancing Force of the Universe Is Baloney Gamblers Fallacy | 29 |
Why the Wheel of Fortune Makes Our Heads Spin The Anchor | 29 |
How to Relieve People of Their Millions Induction | 31 |
Why Evil Is More Striking Than Good Loss Aversion | 32 |
Why Teams Are Lazy Social Loafing | 32 |
Stumped by a Sheet of Paper Exponential Growth | 34 |
Curb Your Enthusiasm Winners Curse | 35 |
Never Ask a Writer If the Novel Is Autobiographical Fundamental Attribution Error | 36 |
Why You Shouldnt Believe in the Stork False Causality | 37 |
Why Attractive People Climb the Career Ladder More Quickly Halo Effect | 38 |
Congratulations Youve Won Russian Roulette Alternative Paths | 38 |
False Prophets Forecast Illusion | 40 |
The Deception of Specific Cases Conjunction Fallacy | 40 |
Its Not What You Say but How You Say It Framing | 42 |
Why Watching and Waiting Is Torture Action Bias | 43 |
Why You Are Either the Solutionor the Problem Omission Bias | 43 |
Dont Blame Me SelfServing Bias | 45 |
Be Careful What You Wish For Hedonic Treadmill | 47 |
Do Not Marvel at Your Existence SelfSelection Bias | 48 |
Why Experience Can Damage Your Judgment Association Bias | 48 |
Be Wary When Things Get Off to a Great Start Beginners Luck | 49 |
Sweet Little Lies Cognitive Dissonance | 49 |
Live Each Day as If It Were Your Lastbut Only on Sundays Hyperbolic Discounting | 51 |
Any Lame Excuse Because Justification | 52 |
Decide BetterDecide Less Decision Fatigue | 53 |
Would You Wear Hitlers Sweater? Contagion Bias | 54 |
Speed Traps Ahead Simple Logic | 62 |
How to Expose a Charlatan Forer Effect | 63 |
Volunteer Work Is for the Birds Volunteers Folly | 65 |
Why You Are a Slave to Your Emotions Affect Heuristic | 66 |
Be Your Own Heretic Introspection Illusion | 67 |
Why You Should Set Fire to Your Ships Inability to Close Doors | 68 |
Disregard the Brand New Neomania | 69 |
Why Propaganda Works Sleeper Effect | 69 |
Why Its Never Just a TwoHorse Race Alternative Blindness | 71 |
Why We Take Aim at Young Guns Social Comparison Bias | 72 |
Why First Impressions Are Deceiving Primacy and Recency Effects | 72 |
Why You Cant Beat Homemade NotInventedHere Syndrome | 74 |
How to Profit from the Implausible The Black Swan | 74 |
Knowledge Is Nontransferable Domain Dependence | 76 |
The Myth of LikeMindedness FalseConsensus Effect | 76 |
You Were Right All Along Falsification of History | 78 |
Why You Identify with Your Football Team InGroup OutGroup Bias | 79 |
The Difference between Risk and Uncertainty Ambiguity Aversion | 80 |
Why You Go with the Status Quo Default Effect | 81 |
Why Last Chances Make Us Panic Fear of Regret | 82 |
How EyeCatching Details Render Us Blind Salience Effect | 83 |
Why Money Is Not Naked HouseMoney Effect | 83 |
Why New Years Resolutions Dont Work Procrastination | 83 |
Build Your Own Castle Envy | 85 |
Why You Prefer Novels to Statistics Personification | 87 |
You Have No Idea What You Are Overlooking Illusion of Attention | 87 |
Hot Air Strategic Misrepresentation | 89 |
Wheres the Off Switch? Overthinking | 90 |
Why You Take On Too Much Planning Fallacy | 91 |
Those Wielding Hammers See Only Nails Déformation Professionnelle | 92 |
Mission Accomplished Zeigarnik Effect | 93 |
The Boat Matters More Than the Rowing Illusion of Skill | 93 |
Why Checklists Deceive You FeaturePositive Effect | 95 |
Drawing the BullsEye around the Arrow Cherry Picking | 96 |
The Stone Age Hunt for Scapegoats Fallacy of the Single Cause | 97 |
Why Speed Demons Appear to Be Safer Drivers IntentiontoTreat Error | 98 |
Why You Shouldnt Read the News News Illusion | 99 |
Epilogue | |
Acknowledgments | |
A Note on Sources | |
About the Author | |
Credits | |
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