The Art of Thinking Clearly

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Harper Collins, 14.05.2013 - 384 Seiten

Have you ever . . .

  • Invested time in something that, in hindsight, just wasn't worth it?
  • Paid too much in an eBay auction?
  • Continued to do something you knew was bad for you?
  • Sold stocks too late, or too early?
  • Taken credit for success, but blamed failure on external circumstances?
  • Backed the wrong horse?

These are examples of what the author calls cognitive biases, simple errors all of us make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices: whether in dealing with personal problems or business negotiations, trying to save money or earn profits, or merely working out what we really want in life—and strategizing the best way to get it.

Already an international bestseller, The Art of Thinking Clearly distills cutting-edge research from behavioral economics, psychology, and neuroscience into a clever, practical guide for anyone who's ever wanted to be wiser and make better decisions. A novelist, thinker, and entrepreneur, Rolf Dobelli deftly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don't need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic hyperactivity—all we need is less irrationality.

Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision making—at work, at home, every day. From why you shouldn't accept a free drink to why you should walk out of a movie you don't like, from why it's so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn't watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.

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Inhalt

False Prophets Forecast Illusion
The Deception of Specific Cases Conjunction Fallacy 42 Its NotWhatYou Say but How You Say It Framing
Why Watching and WaitingIs Torture Action Bias 44 Why You Are Either the Solutionor the Problem Omission Bias 45 Dont Blame Me SelfServin...
Why Experience Can Damage Your Judgment Association Bias 49 Be Wary When ThingsGet Off toaGreat Start BeginnersLuck 50 Sweet Little Lies ...
Any Lame Excuse Because Justification
Decide BetterDecide Less DecisionFatigue 54 Would You WearHitlers Sweater? Contagion Bias 55 Why There Is No Such Thing asan AverageWar ...
If You Have an Enemy Give Him Information Information Bias
Hurts So Good Effort Justification

NeverJudgeaDecisionbyItsOutcome Outcome Bias
Less Is More Paradox ofChoice 22 You Like Me You Really Really Like Me Liking Bias 23 Dont Cling to Things Endowment Effect
The Calamity of Conformity Groupthink
Why Youll Soon Be Playing Mega Trillions Neglect of Probability
Why the Last Cookie in the Jar Makes Your Mouth Water Scarcity Error
When You HearHoofbeats DontExpecta ZebraBaseRate Neglect
Why theBalancing Forceof the Universe IsBaloney Gamblers Fallacy 30 Why the Wheel of Fortune Makes Our Heads SpinThe Anchor 31 How to R...
Why Teams Are LazySocialLoafing 34 Stumped by a Sheet ofPaper Exponential Growth 35 Curb Your Enthusiasm Winners Curse 36 Never Ask a ...
Why You Shouldnt Believe inthe StorkFalse Causality 38 Why Attractive People Climb the Career Ladder MoreQuickly Halo Effect
Congratulations Youve Won Russian Roulette Alternative Paths
obscure Wall Street trader with a penchant for philosophy I was introduced
The Inevitability of UnlikelyEvents Coincidence
Why Why Why
WereRight All Along Falsification of History 79 YouIdentify with YourFootball Team InGroup OutGroupBias 80 The Difference between Risk and ...
Why YouTake On Too Much Planning Fallacy
StoneAge Hunt for Scapegoats Fallacyofthe SingleCause
Why You Shouldnt Read the News News Illusion
About theAuthor
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Autoren-Profil (2013)

Rolf Dobelli is a bestselling writer and entrepreneur. He is the founder of Zurich.Minds, a community of some of the world's most famed and distinguished thinkers, scientists, artists, and entrepreneurs, and a cofounder of getAbstract, the world's largest publisher of compressed knowledge. He lives in Lucerne, Switzerland.

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