Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgement and Decision Making

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SAGE, 13.04.2001 - 372 Seiten
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In Rational Choice in an Uncertain World, renowned authors Hastie and Dawes compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behavior in making decisions. They describe theories and research finding from the field of judgement and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well.
 

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Inhalt

Thinking and Deciding
1
A General Framework for Judgment
3
Judgments From Memory
73
227
97
Anchoring and Adjustment
99
Judgment by Similarity
115
Judging by Scenarios and Explanations
129
Thinking About Randomness and Causation
153
Complex Values and Attitudes
231
A Normative Rational Decision Theory
249
A Descriptive Psychological Decision Theory
289
In Praise of Uncertainty
313
The Principles of Probability Theory
339
Beliefs That Violate the Principles of Probability Theory
347
Index
357
About the Authors
371

Thinking Rationally About Uncertainty
169
Simple Values
199

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