Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgement and Decision MakingIn Rational Choice in an Uncertain World, renowned authors Hastie and Dawes compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behavior in making decisions. They describe theories and research finding from the field of judgement and decision making in a non-technical manner, using anecdotes as a teaching device. Intended as an introductory textbook for advanced undergraduate and graduate students, the material not only is of scholarly interest but is practical as well. |
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Inhalt
Thinking and Deciding | 1 |
A General Framework for Judgment | 3 |
Judgments From Memory | 73 |
227 | 97 |
Anchoring and Adjustment | 99 |
Judgment by Similarity | 115 |
Judging by Scenarios and Explanations | 129 |
Thinking About Randomness and Causation | 153 |
Complex Values and Attitudes | 231 |
A Normative Rational Decision Theory | 249 |
A Descriptive Psychological Decision Theory | 289 |
In Praise of Uncertainty | 313 |
The Principles of Probability Theory | 339 |
Beliefs That Violate the Principles of Probability Theory | 347 |
| 357 | |
About the Authors | 371 |
Häufige Begriffe und Wortgruppen
actual alternative amount analysis anchor applied asked associated attributes availability average axioms bank teller behavior belief better chance Chapter characteristics choice choose cognitive coin conclusion consequences consider consistent construct course decision describe determine effects equal error estimate evaluation evidence example expected experience experimental fact Figure future gamble given heads human idea implies important individual involved judge judgment jurors lead least less linear major memory mental mind objects occur outcomes patients person positive possible predict prefer presented principle probability problem prospect psychology question random rational reason recall receiving relationships reported representative response result risk rule scenario sequence similarity situation skills social statistical story strategies subjects success summarize tend theory thinking tion tosses true Tversky uncertainty utility weight
Verweise auf dieses Buch
Critical Thinking in Clinical Practice: Improving the Quality of Judgments ... Eileen Gambrill Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2006 |
Mental Mechanisms: Philosophical Perspectives on Cognitive Neuroscience William Bechtel Eingeschränkte Leseprobe - 2008 |

